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jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Oct 21, 2009 12:45:54 AM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse A group of members who work on the opinion poll each week decided to start a new topic to discuss past polls and how they could be improved. Almost immediately we began to make predictions about how the next poll would turn out and then to keep score as the results came in. It soon became clear that this aspect was getting in the way of the main purpose of the poll-discussion thread. Hence this new topic, devoted to those who wish to predict poll results and discuss those predictions. We now have 3 related topics: Setting up new polls, predicting their results, and discussing those results. [Edited by: jrsva at 10/21/2009 12:51:35 AM EST]

jrsva

Champion Author
Virginia

Posts:9,863
Points:1,614,950
Joined:Jan 2006

Message Posted: Oct 21, 2009 12:45:54 AM

Ignore jrsva Report Abuse

A group of members who work on the opinion poll each week decided to start a new topic to discuss past polls and how they could be improved. Almost immediately we began to make predictions about how the next poll would turn out and then to keep score as the results came in. It soon became clear that this aspect was getting in the way of the main purpose of the poll-discussion thread. Hence this new topic, devoted to those who wish to predict poll results and discuss those predictions.

We now have 3 related topics: Setting up new polls, predicting their results, and discussing those results.

[Edited by: jrsva at 10/21/2009 12:51:35 AM EST]

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ziyulu Champion Author Oklahoma City Posts:8,509 Points:1,604,825 Joined:Aug 2007	Message Posted: May 24, 2013 5:13:02 AM Ignore ziyulu Report Abuse I like the character game in that it limits the percentage of a guess to a few numbers. I then play around with the factors and total until I get close to 100.
jerry972 Champion Author Denver Posts:5,711 Points:1,378,780 Joined:May 2008	Message Posted: May 23, 2013 11:39:09 PM Ignore jerry972 Report Abuse bugc, I feel we swap frequently for bringing up the rear... All, I would love to know why z's letter count approach works as well as it does. I can't figure out the link. ziyulu, Congratulations - again. [Edited by: jerry972 at 5/23/2013 11:40:55 PM EST]
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: May 23, 2013 3:52:15 PM Ignore bugc Report Abuse I've been doing a good job of being the outlier.
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: May 23, 2013 12:06:24 AM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Results for 2013-21 with 19200 votes tallied. How often do you use a cell phone while driving? Prognosticator-------jrsva - - - ziyulu - - - bugc - - - jerry • Frequently------------1 - - - - - (1) - - - - -4 - - - - - 18 • Sometimes-----------(2) - - - - -(4) - - - - (3) - - - - - 3 • Rarely----------------(9) - - - - - (3) - - - -(13) - - - - (9) • Never -----------------8 - - - - - - 3 - - - - - 8 - - - - - (2) • NA / no phone---------1 - - - - - -(2) - - - - -4 - - - - - -2 Score-------------------21 - - - - - -13 - - - - 32 - - - - - 23 Congratulations Z, you did it again.
jerry972 Champion Author Denver Posts:5,711 Points:1,378,780 Joined:May 2008	Message Posted: May 19, 2013 3:17:07 PM Ignore jerry972 Report Abuse Like bugc, I am late but haven't looked / voted yet. How often do you use a cell phone while driving? 18 • Frequently 25 • Sometimes 30 • Rarely 20 • Never 06 • NA / no phone
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: May 19, 2013 2:56:11 PM Ignore bugc Report Abuse I haven't looked at the poll so I'll take a guess: How often do you use a cell phone while driving? 15 • Frequently 19 • Sometimes 26 • Rarely 30 • Never 08 • NA / no phone
ziyulu Champion Author Oklahoma City Posts:8,509 Points:1,604,825 Joined:Aug 2007	Message Posted: May 19, 2013 12:17:54 AM Ignore ziyulu Report Abuse How often do you use a cell phone while driving? 10 • Frequently 18 • Sometimes (2 * 9 characters) 36 • Rarely (6 * 6 characters) 25 • Never (5 * 5 characters) 02 • (NA) / no phone
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: May 18, 2013 11:47:35 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse How often do you use a cell phone while driving? • Frequently-----------12 • Sometimes-----------20 • Rarely----------------30 • Never ----------------30 • NA / no phone---------5
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: May 18, 2013 11:20:50 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Results for 2013-20 with 18700 votes tallied. Were you satisfied with the processing and/or payment of your last auto-insurance claim? Prognosticator---------jrsva - - - bugc - - - ziyulu - - - jerry • Very satisfied ----------(5) - - - - (5) - - - - (4) - - - - -(10) • Met my needs-----------2 - - - - - 2 - - - - - 2 - - - - - - 17 • Unsatisfied-------------(3) - - - - -4 - - - - - 0 - - - - - - - 4 • No claim / IDK-----------6 - - - - -(4) - - - - (7) - - - - - -(9) Score--------------------16 - - - - 15 - - - - -13 - - - - - -40 Congratulations Z, close race this week.
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: May 16, 2013 11:49:19 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse I was getting ready to post results but it is pretty close now so I think I’ll wait a bit to see if anything changes.
jerry972 Champion Author Denver Posts:5,711 Points:1,378,780 Joined:May 2008	Message Posted: May 12, 2013 11:02:42 PM Ignore jerry972 Report Abuse I know I am late but I haven't looked or voted yet. Were you satisfied with the processing and/or payment of your last auto-insurance claim? 20 Very satisfied 45 Met my needs 15 Unsatisfied 20 No claim / I don’t remember
ziyulu Champion Author Oklahoma City Posts:8,509 Points:1,604,825 Joined:Aug 2007	Message Posted: May 12, 2013 12:12:46 AM Ignore ziyulu Report Abuse Were you satisfied with the processing and/or payment of your last auto-insurance claim? 26 • Very satisfied (2 * 13 characters) 30 • Met my needs (3 * 10 characters) 11 • Unsatisfied 22 • No claim / I don’t remember
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: May 12, 2013 12:07:25 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse Were you satisfied with the processing and/or payment of your last auto-insurance claim? 25 Very satisfied 30 Met my needs 15 Unsatisfied 25 No claim / I don’t remember [Edited by: bugc at 5/12/2013 12:09:18 AM EST]
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: May 11, 2013 11:52:18 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Where is everyone this week? It's almost midnight in the east. Were you satisfied with the processing and/or payment of your last auto-insurance claim? • Very satisfied-----------25 • Met my needs----------30 • Unsatisfied--------------8 • No claim / IDK---------35
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: May 8, 2013 11:43:54 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Results for 2013-19 with 18600 votes tallied. Should talking on a cell phone while driving be illegal? Prognosticator---------------jrsva - - - ziyulu - - - bugc • Yes, for everyone------------10 - - - - -(5) - - - - -5 • Yes, unless hands-free-------(8) - - - - (3) - - - -(13) • Only for new drivers ---------(2) - - - - -5 - - - - - 0 • No---------------------------0 - - - - - -1 - - - - - 5 Score-------------------------20 - - - - -14 - - - - 23 Congratulations Z.
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: May 5, 2013 8:07:42 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse I haven't peeked... Should talking on a cell phone while driving be illegal? • Yes, for everyone------------40 • Yes, unless hands-free-------30 • Only for new drivers ----------5 • No--------------------------20
ziyulu Champion Author Oklahoma City Posts:8,509 Points:1,604,825 Joined:Aug 2007	Message Posted: May 5, 2013 12:11:29 AM Ignore ziyulu Report Abuse Should talking on a cell phone while driving be illegal? • Yes, for everyone------------30 (2 * 15 characters) • Yes, unless hands-free-------40 (2 * 20 characters) • Only for (new drivers) ------10 • No---------------------------16 (2 * 2 * 2 * 2 characters)
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: May 4, 2013 11:45:29 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Should talking on a cell phone while driving be illegal? • Yes, for everyone------------45 • Yes, unless hands-free-------35 • Only for new drivers ----------3 • No--------------------------15
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Apr 30, 2013 11:14:00 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Results for 2013-18 with 15600 votes tallied. If you're getting a tax refund, how do you intend to spend it? Prognosticator--------ziyulu - - - bugc - - - jrsva • Vehicle-----------------(2) - - - - 0 - - - - - 0 • Something else---------(2) - - - (9) - - - - (5) • Save it-----------------(3) - - -(28) - - - -(8) • Undecided---------------1 - - - -12 - - - - (1) • No tax refund-----------(5) - - - 22 - - - - 12 Score--------------------13 - - - -71 - - - - 26 Good work Z. I will say for sure mine was a wild guess; I didn’t have much of a clue.
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Apr 28, 2013 12:22:49 AM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Man, is the site ever slow tonight. I’ve been trying to post this for over half an hour. If you're getting a tax refund, how do you intend to spend it? • Vehicle------------------5 • Something else---------20 • Save it-----------------25 • Undecided---------------7 • No tax refund-----------40
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Apr 28, 2013 12:10:27 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse I have no idea. I'll start with: If you're getting a tax refund, how do you intend to spend it? 05 • Buy/repair/maintain a vehicle 15 • Spend it on something else 05 • Save it 20 • Undecided 50 • No tax refund
ziyulu Champion Author Oklahoma City Posts:8,509 Points:1,604,825 Joined:Aug 2007	Message Posted: Apr 28, 2013 12:07:37 AM Ignore ziyulu Report Abuse If you're getting a tax refund, how do you intend to spend it? 03 • (Buy)/repair/maintain a vehicle 22 • Spend it on something else 30 • Save it (5 * 6 characters) 09 • Undecided 33 • No tax refund (3 * 11 characters)
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Apr 25, 2013 11:21:05 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Results for 2013-17 with 17400 votes tallied. How much do you save per year by using GasBuddy? Prognosticator---------jrsva - - - bugc - - - jerry • $1 to $50--------------(1) - - - - (1) - - - - (3) • $50 to $100------------(2) - - - - -3 - - - - - 3 • $100 to $200------------6 - - - - - 6 - - - - -16 • More than $200 ---------1 - - - - -(4) - - - - (4) • Not applicable----------(4) - - - - (7) - - - -(12) Score--------------------14 - - - - -21 - - - - 38
jerry972 Champion Author Denver Posts:5,711 Points:1,378,780 Joined:May 2008	Message Posted: Apr 21, 2013 2:00:24 PM Ignore jerry972 Report Abuse I missed yesterday so here are my predictions before I look at anything: How much do you save per year by using GasBuddy? • $1 to $50---------------28 • $50 to $100------------35 • $100 to $200-----------30 • More than $200--------5 • Not applicable-----------0
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Apr 21, 2013 12:23:01 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse How much do you save per year by using GasBuddy? • $1 to $50---------------30 • $50 to $100------------35 • $100 to $200-----------20 • More than $200--------5 • Not applicable-----------5
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Apr 21, 2013 12:12:02 AM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Where is everyone? I thought I was late . . . How much do you save per year by using GasBuddy? • $1 to $50---------------30 • $50 to $100------------30 • $100 to $200-----------20 • More than $200--------10 • Not applicable-----------8
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Apr 19, 2013 12:19:59 AM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Results for 2013-16 with 18600 votes tallied. The railroad grade crossing you most frequently cross has: Prognosticator-------------jrsva - - - bugc - - - ziyulu • Signs only------------------(5) - - - - (2) - - - - 2 • Signs and lights-------------(3) - - - - -0 - - - - (4) • Crossing gates/arms --------16 - - - -(16) - - - - 0 • Other/NA--------------------4 - - - - - 4 - - - - - 1 • I rarely cross a RR ---------(12) - - - -13 - - - - (2) Score-------------------------40 - - - - 35 - - - - - 9 Congratulations Z, amazingly good job!
ziyulu Champion Author Oklahoma City Posts:8,509 Points:1,604,825 Joined:Aug 2007	Message Posted: Apr 14, 2013 8:42:20 AM Ignore ziyulu Report Abuse The railroad grade crossing you most frequently cross has: • Signs only -------------------9 • Signs and lights-------------14 • Crossing gates/arms--------54 (3 * 18 characters) • Other/(NA)-------------------2 • I rarely cross a RR-----------15
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Apr 14, 2013 12:13:32 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse The railroad grade crossing you most frequently cross has: • Signs only -------------------5 • Signs and lights-------------18 • Crossing gates/arms--------38 • Other/NA--------------------5 • I rarely cross a RR-----------30
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Apr 13, 2013 11:46:26 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse The railroad grade crossing you most frequently cross has: • Signs only -------------------2 • Signs and lights-------------15 • Crossing gates/arms--------70 • Other/NA--------------------5 • I rarely cross a RR-----------5
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Apr 12, 2013 12:53:49 AM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Results for 2013-15 with 20800 votes tallied. Should motorcycle riders be required to use a helmet? Prognosticator-------jerry - - - - ziyulu - - - - jrsva - - - bugc • Yes, all------------(39) - - - - -(20) - - - - -(29) - - - -(19) • Minors/new---------20 - - - - - -15 - - - - - - 23 - - - - - 5 • No-----------------20 - - - - - - (7) - - - - - - 5 - - - - - 10 • No opinion----------(2) - - - - - -(2) - - - - - - 1 - - - - - -1 Score----------------81 - - - - - - 44 - - - - - - 58 - - - - -35 Congratulations Bugc, well done. [Edited by: jrsva at 4/12/2013 12:55:51 AM EST]
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Apr 7, 2013 12:51:27 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse Should motorcycle riders be required to use a helmet? 50 • Yes, all 15 • Yes, minors and/or new riders 25 • No 05 • No opinion
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Apr 7, 2013 12:27:37 AM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Should motorcycle riders be required to use a helmet? • Yes, all-----------40 • Minors/new------33 • No---------------20 • No opinion--------5
ziyulu Champion Author Oklahoma City Posts:8,509 Points:1,604,825 Joined:Aug 2007	Message Posted: Apr 7, 2013 12:12:49 AM Ignore ziyulu Report Abuse Should motorcycle riders be required to use a helmet? 49 • Yes, all (7 * 7 characters) 25 • Yes, minors and/or new riders 08 • No (2 * 2 * 2 characters) 02 • (No) opinion
jerry972 Champion Author Denver Posts:5,711 Points:1,378,780 Joined:May 2008	Message Posted: Apr 6, 2013 1:43:05 PM Ignore jerry972 Report Abuse Should motorcycle riders be required to use a helmet? 30 • Yes, all 30 • Yes, minors and/or new riders 35 • No 02 • No opinion
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Apr 2, 2013 9:09:41 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse Great predictions, jrsva!
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Apr 2, 2013 1:54:34 AM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Results for 2013-14 with 14100 votes tallied. Do you use gasoline containing ethanol in your primary vehicle? Prognosticator------------------jrsva - - - bugc - - - ziyulu • Yes, I have no choice-----------(2) - - - - 10 - - - - (11) • Yes, I prefer to use it -----------1 - - - - -(1) - - - - - 2 • Never---------------------------1 - - - - - (8) - - - - -(1) • Not when I can get E-free------(1) - - - - (2) - - - - - 9 • I don’t know/don't care----------1 - - - - - 2 - - - - - -1 Score------------------------------6 - - - - 23 - - - - - 24
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Apr 1, 2013 12:07:40 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse That was close!
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Mar 31, 2013 11:34:16 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Results for 2013-13 with 22215 votes tallied (last week's poll, final). What is your usual reason for purchasing fuel? Prognosticator-----------bugc - - - jrsva - - - jerry • Nearly empty-------------(8) - - - - 2 - - - - (13) • Cheap price--------------(2) - - -(12) - - - - (2) • Convenient---------------12 - - - -12 - - - - -22 • Prices may rise-----------(6) - - - -(2) - - - - (7) • I don’t buy fuel------------1 - - - - -0 - - - - - 0 Score----------------------29 - - - -28 - - - - -44
ziyulu Champion Author Oklahoma City Posts:8,509 Points:1,604,825 Joined:Aug 2007	Message Posted: Mar 31, 2013 12:44:19 AM Ignore ziyulu Report Abuse Do you use gasoline containing ethanol in your primary vehicle? 51 • Yes, I have no choice (3 * 17 characters) 06 • Yes, I (prefer) to use it 10 • Never (2 * 5 characters) 20 • Not when I can get E-free 10 • (I don’t know)/don't care [Edited by: ziyulu at 3/31/2013 12:45:44 AM EST]
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Mar 31, 2013 12:06:50 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse Do you use gasoline containing ethanol in your primary vehicle? 72 • Yes, I have no choice 03 • Yes, I prefer to use it 03 • Never 09 • Not when I can get E-free 11 • I don’t know/don't care
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Mar 30, 2013 11:52:29 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Do you use gasoline containing ethanol in your primary vehicle? • Yes, I have no choice-----------60 • Yes, I prefer to use it ------------5 • Never--------------------------12 • Not when I can get E-free------10 • I don’t know/don't care--------10
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Mar 28, 2013 12:10:47 AM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse It is another one-point game right now; I'll have to wait until the end to figure results.
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Mar 24, 2013 1:26:03 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse Yikes. The new poll has been up for a day but the poll just reverted to How recently have you changed a tire yourself? Was it loaded wrong?
jerry972 Champion Author Denver Posts:5,711 Points:1,378,780 Joined:May 2008	Message Posted: Mar 23, 2013 11:49:48 PM Ignore jerry972 Report Abuse What is your usual reason for purchasing fuel? 45 My tank is nearly empty 20 I find a cheap price 30 When convenient / I have money 02 I think prices may rise 00 I don’t buy fuel
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Mar 23, 2013 11:27:43 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse What is your usual reason for purchasing fuel? • Nearly empty-------------60 • Cheap price--------------10 • Convenient---------------20 • Prices may rise------------7 • I don’t buy fuel------------0
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Mar 23, 2013 1:04:56 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse What is your usual reason for purchasing fuel? 50 My tank is nearly empty 20 I find a cheap price 20 When convenient / I have money 03 I think prices may rise 01 I don’t buy fuel
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Mar 21, 2013 10:34:00 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse Good prognostication, jrs....
jrsva Champion Author Virginia Posts:9,863 Points:1,614,950 Joined:Jan 2006	Message Posted: Mar 19, 2013 11:53:09 PM Ignore jrsva Report Abuse Results for 2013-12 with 16700 votes tallied. How recently have you changed a tire yourself? Prognosticator-----jerry - - - jrsva - - - bugc • <2 yr--------------(15) - - - -(10) - - - (20) • 2 to 5---------------14 - - - - - 2 - - - - - 4 • 5 to 10---------------3 - - - - - 3 - - - - - 8 • >10 yr-------------(14) - - - - -3 - - - - - 1 • Never---------------13 - - - - - 1 - - - - - 8 Score-----------------59 - - - - -19 - - - - 41
bugc Champion Author Boston Posts:15,061 Points:3,006,090 Joined:Mar 2004	Message Posted: Mar 17, 2013 12:17:01 AM Ignore bugc Report Abuse How recently have you changed a tire yourself? 20 • Never 20 • More than 10 years ago 20 • 5 to 10 years ago 20 • 2 to 5 years ago 20 • Within last 2 years (My creative attempt to figure it out ;-)